Avai vs Sport Recife Thursday 20th August 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Aug. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Avai Sport Recife

Avai L W D W L L

Sport Recife D D D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sport Recife	Avai	2 - 2	April 11, 2026
Avai	Sport Recife	0 - 2	September 8, 2024
Sport Recife	Avai	1 - 2	May 19, 2024
Avai	Sport Recife	2 - 2	September 29, 2023
Sport Recife	Avai	2 - 1	June 7, 2023
Sport Recife	Avai	0 - 1	September 10, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Juventude	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	America Mineiro	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	2 - 0	Win
Jul 6, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Goias	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Operario-PR	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Criciuma	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Sport Recife	20	6	11	3	25	19	+6	29
18	Avai	20	5	5	10	21	27	-6	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Avai has a 37.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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