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Avispa Fukuoka logo Avispa Fukuoka
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logo Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka L L D L W L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W D W D W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 - 2 April 29, 2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 April 5, 2026
Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 2 September 27, 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 May 3, 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 July 14, 2024
Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 1 April 13, 2024

Avispa Fukuoka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Urawa 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Verspah Oita 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Kashima 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Cerezo Osaka 3 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Vissel Kobe 0 - 1 Loss

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Nagoya Grampus 3 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Home Okinawa SV 4 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Urawa 1 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home JEF United Chiba 3 - 0 Win

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
15 Avispa Fukuoka 4 1 0 3 6 6 0 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
This prediction indicates that Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 57.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.38 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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