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J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka logo Avispa Fukuoka
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Mito Hollyhock logo Mito Hollyhock

Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock
Avispa Fukuoka W L W L W D
Mito Hollyhock D L L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mito Hollyhock Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 November 4, 2020
Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock 0 - 1 August 19, 2020
Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 July 27, 2019
Mito Hollyhock Avispa Fukuoka 4 - 2 June 9, 2019
Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock 2 - 0 August 11, 2018
Mito Hollyhock Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 2 May 27, 2018

Avispa Fukuoka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Cerezo Osaka 3 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Vissel Kobe 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Osaka 3 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Kitakyushu 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away JEF United Chiba 1 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home JEF United Chiba 2 - 2 Draw

Mito Hollyhock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Tokyo Verdy 0 - 1 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Avispa Fukuoka 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
15 Mito Hollyhock 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Avispa Fukuoka to win
This prediction indicates that Avispa Fukuoka has a 52.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.86 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J1 League

Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka 6 hours from now · noon › Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe 7 hours from now · 1:30 p.m. › Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy 6 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale 7 hours from now · 1:15 p.m. ›