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Victoria NPL
Avondale logo Avondale
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Hume City logo Hume City

Match Analysis

Avondale Hume City
Avondale W W D L L L
Hume City W L L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hume City Avondale 3 - 0 May 16, 2026
Hume City Avondale 1 - 2 July 4, 2025
Avondale Hume City 2 - 0 March 29, 2025
Avondale Hume City 5 - 0 June 15, 2024
Hume City Avondale 1 - 2 March 9, 2024
Hume City Avondale 0 - 1 June 3, 2023

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Heidelberg United 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Melbourne City II 2 - 3 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home St. Albans Saints 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Preston Lions 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Dandenong City 3 - 1 Loss

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 0 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Away Preston Lions 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 1 - 3 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Hume City 23 13 4 6 43 28 +15 43
4 Avondale 23 13 2 8 59 31 +28 41

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.23% likelihood that both Avondale and Hume City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Avondale to win
This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 61.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Victoria NPL

Heidelberg United vs Hume City 3 hours from now · 8 a.m. › Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne 3 hours from now · 8 a.m. › Sunshine Georgies vs Avondale 6 hours from now · 11 a.m. ›