AVS vs Chaves Saturday 11th July 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

AVS Chaves

AVS D W W D D D

Chaves W L L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AVS	Chaves	1 - 1	July 22, 2023
AVS	Chaves	0 - 0	July 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Moreirense	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	FC Porto	3 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Nacional	1 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Sporting CP	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Away	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Guimaraes	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 15, 26	Away	Maritimo	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Leixoes	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Portimonense	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Home	Oliveirense	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Pacos Ferreira	4 - 3	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Torreense	2 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that AVS has a 55.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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