AVS vs Paredes Wednesday 22nd July 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

AVS Paredes

AVS D W W D D D

Paredes D L D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Moreirense	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	FC Porto	3 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Nacional	1 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Sporting CP	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Away	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Guimaraes	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 3, 26	Home	AD Marco 09	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Sanjoanense	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	São João Ver	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	SC Braga B	4 - 1	Win
Mar 22, 26	Away	Fafe	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 15, 26	Away	São João Ver	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that AVS has a 43.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.48 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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