Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior Friday 16th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Thai League 1

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Ayutthaya FC View team ›

Oct. 16, 2026 2 days, 11 hours ago

0 – 2

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Lamphun Warrior View team ›

Match Analysis

Ayutthaya FC Lamphun Warrior

Ayutthaya FC D L W W L L

Lamphun Warrior L D L L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Ayutthaya FC have moderate recent form, while Lamphun Warrior have struggled recently. The model predicts an away win with a 38% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest for Lamphun Warrior. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (55%) and that there will be more than one goal overall (52%), both of which align with the market view. The teams are closely matched in quality and have similar rest, but Lamphun Warrior's weaker recent shape gives the model a slight edge to them in this match.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Lamphun Warrior	Ayutthaya FC	2 - 0	Thai League 1	April 5, 2026
Ayutthaya FC	Lamphun Warrior	1 - 1	Thai League 1	November 29, 2025

Ayutthaya FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Bangkok Glass	Thai League 1	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 18, 26	Home	Uthai Thani	Thai League 1	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Sisaket United	Thai League 1	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Ratchaburi	Thai League 1	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Port FC	Thai League 1	1 - 4	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Bangkok United	Thai League 1	4 - 1	Loss

Lamphun Warrior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Bangkok United	Thai League 1	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Rasi Salai United	Thai League 1	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	Port FC	Thai League 1	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Uthai Thani	Thai League 1	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Buriram United	Thai League 1	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Chiangrai United	Thai League 1	0 - 0	Draw

Thai League 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Ayutthaya FC	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
15	Lamphun Warrior	4	0	1	3	3	9	-6	1

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Prachuap	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Uthai Thani	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Buriram United	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Bangkok United	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Port FC	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Rayong FC	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Ratchaburi	4	2	1	1	+6	7
8	Ayutthaya FC	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sisaket United	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sukhothai FC	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Bangkok Glass	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Chiangrai United	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Pattani	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lamphun Warrior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Rasi Salai United	5	0	1	4	-8	1
16	Chonburi FC	5	0	0	5	-5	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that both Ayutthaya FC and Lamphun Warrior will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ayutthaya FC or Lamphun Warrior to win

This prediction indicates that Lamphun Warrior has a 37.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.88 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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