Bahia vs Botafogo Saturday 30th May 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

Bahia Botafogo

Bahia L D L D D L

Botafogo W D W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botafogo	Bahia	2 - 1	October 2, 2025
Bahia	Botafogo	1 - 0	May 4, 2025
Bahia	Botafogo	0 - 0	August 25, 2024
Botafogo	Bahia	1 - 2	May 5, 2024
Botafogo	Bahia	3 - 0	August 27, 2023
Bahia	Botafogo	1 - 2	April 24, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Away	Coritiba	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Gremio	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Santos	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Flamengo	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Caracas FC	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Independiente	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Corinthians	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw
May 7, 26	Home	Racing Club	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Bahia	16	6	5	5	23	22	+1	23
10	Botafogo	16	6	4	6	30	29	+1	22

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 33.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.34 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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