Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc Saturday 18th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bahia Chapecoense-sc

Bahia W L D L D D

Chapecoense-sc L L L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chapecoense-sc	Bahia	3 - 1	October 1, 2022
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 1	June 14, 2022
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	3 - 0	October 24, 2021
Chapecoense-sc	Bahia	0 - 2	July 4, 2021
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	November 7, 2019
Chapecoense-sc	Bahia	0 - 0	July 28, 2019

Bahia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Botafogo	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Coritiba	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Gremio	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Santos	2 - 2	Draw

Chapecoense-sc Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	remo	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Mirassol	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Fluminense	2 - 1	Loss

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Bahia	17	7	5	5	25	23	+2	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	16	1	6	9	17	32	-15	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Bahia to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 39.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.45 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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