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Serie A

July 18, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Bahia Chapecoense-sc
Bahia W L D L D D
Chapecoense-sc L L L D L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chapecoense-sc Bahia 3 - 1 October 1, 2022
Bahia Chapecoense-sc 0 - 1 June 14, 2022
Bahia Chapecoense-sc 3 - 0 October 24, 2021
Chapecoense-sc Bahia 0 - 2 July 4, 2021
Bahia Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1 November 7, 2019
Chapecoense-sc Bahia 0 - 0 July 28, 2019

Bahia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Botafogo 2 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Coritiba 3 - 2 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Gremio 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Santos 2 - 2 Draw

Chapecoense-sc Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Palmeiras 1 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home remo 2 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Mirassol 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Fluminense 2 - 1 Loss

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Bahia 17 7 5 5 25 23 +2 26
20 Chapecoense-sc 16 1 6 9 17 32 -15 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Bahia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 39.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.45 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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