Serie A
Match Analysis
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
W
W
L
D
L
D
Corinthians
W
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Bahia | 1 - 2 | January 28, 2026 |
| Corinthians | Bahia | 1 - 2 | August 17, 2025 |
| Bahia | Corinthians | 1 - 1 | March 30, 2025 |
| Corinthians | Bahia | 3 - 0 | December 3, 2024 |
| Bahia | Corinthians | 0 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Corinthians | Bahia | 1 - 5 | November 25, 2023 |
Bahia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Coritiba | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Gremio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Corinthians Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Gremio | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Platense | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Penarol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sao Paulo | 3 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
Predictions
Bahia to win
This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 43.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.61 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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