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Premiership
Ballymena United logo Ballymena United
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Larne logo Larne

Match Analysis

Ballymena United Larne
Ballymena United W D D W W D
Larne D D L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ballymena United Larne 0 - 2 February 28, 2026
Ballymena United Larne 0 - 2 November 1, 2025
Larne Ballymena United 2 - 0 August 29, 2025
Ballymena United Larne 1 - 2 March 11, 2025
Larne Ballymena United 2 - 1 January 25, 2025
Larne Ballymena United 0 - 1 September 7, 2024

Ballymena United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Linfield 0 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Annagh United 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Glenavon FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Portstewart 1 - 5 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Carrick Rangers 0 - 3 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Queen's University 1 - 1 Draw

Larne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Home Saburtalo 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away FK Crvena Zvezda 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home FK Crvena Zvezda 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Tre Fiori 2 - 1 Win
Jul 7, 26 Away Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Win

Premiership Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Larne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ballymena United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Larne to win
This prediction indicates that Larne has a 51.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.11 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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