Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Barakaldo
Arenas Getxo
Barakaldo
W
L
D
L
D
W
Arenas Getxo
L
L
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | Barakaldo | 2 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Barakaldo | Arenas Getxo | 2 - 1 | September 12, 2025 |
| Barakaldo | Arenas Getxo | 0 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| Arenas Getxo | Barakaldo | 1 - 3 | August 5, 2023 |
| Barakaldo | Arenas Getxo | 3 - 0 | August 13, 2022 |
| Barakaldo | Arenas Getxo | 0 - 0 | August 28, 2021 |
Barakaldo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Extremadura 1924 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | CD Coria | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Portugalete | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Real Avilés | 1 - 4 | Win |
Arenas Getxo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Zamora | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Pontevedra | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Racing Ferrol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Laredo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Eibar | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Zamora | 1 - 0 | Win |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Barakaldo to win
This prediction indicates that Barakaldo has a 52.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.93 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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