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National League

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Barrow Sutton Utd
Barrow L L W W D W
Sutton Utd W W W W W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sutton Utd Barrow 2 - 2 January 13, 2024
Barrow Sutton Utd 2 - 1 August 12, 2023
Barrow Sutton Utd 0 - 0 March 11, 2023
Sutton Utd Barrow 1 - 0 August 13, 2022
Barrow Sutton Utd 1 - 0 April 23, 2022
Sutton Utd Barrow 1 - 0 November 27, 2021

Barrow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home AFC Hornchurch 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Hartlepool 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Morecambe 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Blackpool 2 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Radcliffe 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Mansfield Town 4 - 3 Win

Sutton Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Altrincham 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Woking 0 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Southampton U21 3 - 2 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Folkestone Invicta 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Horsham 2 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 1 - 1 Draw

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Sutton Utd 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
21 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Sutton Utd to win
This prediction indicates that Sutton Utd has a 43.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.54 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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