Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

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Bedford Town View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago

0 – 0

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Cray Wanderers View team ›

Match Analysis

Bedford Town Cray Wanderers

Bedford Town L W D D W L

Cray Wanderers L W W W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Cray Wanderers with a modest quality edge, but Bedford Town have moderate recent form, while Cray Wanderers have strong recent form, and both sides come in with similar rest. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also predicts that both teams are likely to score (60% probability) and that there will be over 1.5 goals (60% probability) and over 2.5 goals (59% probability), views that align closely with the market odds.

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Chester	National League - North	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 6, 26	Away	Wingate & Finchley	FA Cup	1 - 3	Win
Oct 3, 26	Home	Wingate & Finchley	FA Cup	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Hereford	National League - North	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Home	King's Lynn Town	FA Cup	2 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Spalding United	National League - North	2 - 1	Loss

Cray Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Lewes	Non League Premier - Isthmian	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Home	Chippenham Town	FA Cup	3 - 0	Win
Sep 29, 26	Away	Maldon & Tiptree	Non League Premier - Isthmian	1 - 5	Win
Sep 22, 26	Away	Maidstone Utd	FA Cup	0 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	FA Cup	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 15, 26	Home	St Albans City	Non League Premier - Isthmian	3 - 3	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.22% likelihood that both Bedford Town and Cray Wanderers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bedford Town or Cray Wanderers to win

This prediction indicates that Bedford Town has a 41.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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