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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Beira-Mar CF Os Belenenses
Beira-Mar D W D D L W
CF Os Belenenses W W W W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Beira-Mar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home União Lamas 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Tondela 1 - 2 Win
Aug 31, 25 Away Gouveia 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 8, 24 Away União de Coimbra 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 10, 23 Away Florgrade 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 5, 23 Home Alba 3 - 0 Win

CF Os Belenenses Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home União Santarém 5 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Louletano 1 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Caldas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Estoril 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Benfica 5 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that both Beira-Mar and CF Os Belenenses will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Beira-Mar or CF Os Belenenses to win
This prediction indicates that CF Os Belenenses has a 39.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.11 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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