Besiktas vs Kocaelispor Sunday 11th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Besiktas logo Besiktas View team ›
Oct. 11, 2026 1 week ago
2 – 1
Full Time
Kocaelispor logo Kocaelispor View team ›
Missing players 7 (reported 10 Oct)
Besiktas
Kocaelispor

Reports usually appear close to kick-off and may be incomplete: a player not listed is not confirmed fit.

Match Analysis

Besiktas Kocaelispor
Besiktas L W W W W L
Kocaelispor W L W W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Besiktas and Kocaelispor are in strong recent form, but Besiktas holds a clear quality advantage and has dominated their past encounters. The model predicts a home win with a 72% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, Besiktas's recent attacking performance suggests they are likely to score, contributing to the prediction of an over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals outcome, both of which the model sees as more likely than the market suggests.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
Kocaelispor Besiktas 0 - 1 Süper Lig February 28, 2026
Kocaelispor Besiktas 1 - 1 Cup February 5, 2026
Besiktas Kocaelispor 3 - 1 Süper Lig September 29, 2025

Besiktas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Away Amed Süper Lig 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 17, 26 Home Marseille UEFA Europa League 4 - 1 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home Erzurum BB Süper Lig 3 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Fenerbahce Süper Lig 1 - 2 Win
Aug 31, 26 Home Yeni Çorumspor Süper Lig 6 - 2 Win
Aug 27, 26 Away Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Europa League 1 - 0 Loss

Kocaelispor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Gazişehir Gaziantep Süper Lig 2 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Galatasaray Süper Lig 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Samsunspor Süper Lig 1 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Konyaspor Süper Lig 1 - 2 Win
Aug 24, 26 Home Amed Süper Lig 2 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Istanbul Basaksehir Süper Lig 2 - 0 Loss

Süper Lig Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14 7 +7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7 4 +3 12
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 +6 19
2 Amed 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 +16 16
4 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 +8 15
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 +11 13
6 Yeni Çorumspor 8 4 1 3 +5 13
7 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 +2 12
8 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Erzurum BB 8 3 2 3 -6 11
10 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 0 10
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Istanbul Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Gazişehir Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 -9 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 0 6
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 -5 5
17 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 -9 4
18 Eyüpspor 8 1 0 7 -20 3

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Besiktas to win
This prediction indicates that Besiktas has a 71.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.13 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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