Virsliga
Match Analysis
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
L
D
W
W
L
W
Rīgas FS
D
L
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | 4 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 0 | February 28, 2026 |
| Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | 5 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | 1 - 7 | June 30, 2025 |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Tukums | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Auda | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 0 - 4 | Win |
Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Riga | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | FK Jablonec | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | FK Jablonec | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Vestri | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Tukums | 0 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 65 | 20 | +45 | 66 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 37 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that both BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 67.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.87 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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