Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta Wednesday 12th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Boca Juniors Deportivo Recoleta

Boca Juniors L L W W W L

Deportivo Recoleta L D W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	O'Higgins	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	O'Higgins	1 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	Sarmiento Junin	0 - 2	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Home	U. Catolica	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Libertad Asuncion	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Away	San Lorenzo	0 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Club Guarani	2 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Boca Juniors has a 61.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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