Premier Division
Match Analysis
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
L
W
D
W
W
W
Galway United
D
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Bohemians have been in strong form recently, while Galway United have shown only moderate form. Despite Galway United having a rest advantage and recent shot volume being fairly even between the sides, there is a clear quality gap favoring Bohemians, who have also dominated their recent meetings and shown strong attacking form. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans towards 'Over 1.5 goals' happening, with a 58% probability, aligning closely with the market's strong implication that this outcome is likely.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | Bohemians | 2 - 4 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bohemians | Galway United | 1 - 0 | March 13, 2026 |
| Galway United | Bohemians | 2 - 0 | October 17, 2025 |
| Bohemians | Galway United | 3 - 0 | July 11, 2025 |
| Galway United | Bohemians | 1 - 2 | May 5, 2025 |
| Bohemians | Galway United | 0 - 2 | March 28, 2025 |
Bohemians Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Ballkani | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Ballkani | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | St Joseph S Fc | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | St Joseph S Fc | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Drogheda United | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 2 - 0 | Win |
Galway United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Waterford | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | St Patrick's Athl. | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Shamrock Rovers | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Derry City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Dundalk | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bohemians | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 43 |
| 7 | Galway United | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 28 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.16% likelihood that both Bohemians and Galway United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bohemians to win
This prediction indicates that Bohemians has a 56.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.59 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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