Serie A
Match Analysis
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
D
W
D
W
L
W
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | Botafogo | 4 - 1 | March 29, 2026 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | October 5, 2024 |
| Botafogo | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | June 19, 2024 |
| Botafogo | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | October 22, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | June 3, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Botafogo | 3 - 0 | November 13, 2022 |
Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Vitoria | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Santos | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Bahia | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Caracas FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
Atletico Paranaense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Santos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Internacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
Predictions
Botafogo to win
This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 41.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.71 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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