Serie A
Match Analysis
Botafogo
Gremio
Botafogo
L
W
D
W
W
D
Gremio
L
L
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | Botafogo | 5 - 3 | February 5, 2026 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 3 - 2 | November 22, 2025 |
| Gremio | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | September 24, 2025 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 0 - 0 | September 29, 2024 |
| Gremio | Botafogo | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2024 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 3 - 4 | November 9, 2023 |
Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Bahia | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Caracas FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Independiente | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Cascavel | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Corinthians | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Santos | 3 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 22 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that both Botafogo and Gremio will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Botafogo to win
This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 51.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.03 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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