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Serie A

July 17, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Botafogo Santos
Botafogo L W D W W D
Santos W W L D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Botafogo Santos 2 - 2 October 26, 2025
Santos Botafogo 0 - 1 June 1, 2025
Botafogo Santos 1 - 1 November 26, 2023
Santos Botafogo 2 - 2 July 23, 2023
Botafogo Santos 3 - 0 November 10, 2022
Santos Botafogo 2 - 0 July 21, 2022

Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Bahia 2 - 1 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Caracas FC 1 - 3 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away Independiente 0 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Home Corinthians 3 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Draw

Santos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Vitoria 3 - 1 Win
May 27, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 3 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Gremio 3 - 2 Loss
May 20, 26 Home San Lorenzo 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Coritiba 0 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Home RB Bragantino 2 - 0 Win

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Botafogo 17 6 4 7 31 31 0 22
15 Santos 18 5 6 7 26 29 -3 21

Predictions

Botafogo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 40.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.53 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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