Botafogo vs Santos Friday 17th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Botafogo Santos

Botafogo L W D W W D

Santos W W L D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botafogo	Santos	2 - 2	October 26, 2025
Santos	Botafogo	0 - 1	June 1, 2025
Botafogo	Santos	1 - 1	November 26, 2023
Santos	Botafogo	2 - 2	July 23, 2023
Botafogo	Santos	3 - 0	November 10, 2022
Santos	Botafogo	2 - 0	July 21, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Caracas FC	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Independiente	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Corinthians	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Vitoria	3 - 1	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	3 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Gremio	3 - 2	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	San Lorenzo	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Coritiba	0 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Botafogo	17	6	4	7	31	31	0	22
15	Santos	18	5	6	7	26	29	-3	21

This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 40.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.53 %

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