Botafogo vs Vitoria Friday 24th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Botafogo Vitoria

Botafogo L W D W W D

Vitoria W W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vitoria	Botafogo	0 - 0	November 9, 2025
Botafogo	Vitoria	0 - 0	July 17, 2025
Botafogo	Vitoria	1 - 1	November 23, 2024
Vitoria	Botafogo	0 - 1	July 12, 2024
Vitoria	Botafogo	0 - 0	September 30, 2021
Botafogo	Vitoria	1 - 0	July 1, 2021

Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Caracas FC	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Independiente	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Corinthians	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw

Vitoria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Santos	3 - 1	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	ABC	3 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Internacional	2 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	ABC	6 - 2	Win

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Botafogo	17	6	4	7	31	31	0	22
12	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4	22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that both Botafogo and Vitoria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Botafogo to win

This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 48.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.78 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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