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Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Bourg-en-bresse 01 SC Bastia
Bourg-en-bresse 01 L L W L D W
SC Bastia W L W L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bourg-en-bresse 01 SC Bastia 1 - 3 February 13, 2021
SC Bastia Bourg-en-bresse 01 3 - 1 September 11, 2020

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Home Thionville Lusitanos 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Valenciennes 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Villefranche 3 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Dijon 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Grenoble 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Valenciennes 1 - 0 Win

SC Bastia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Away Caen 0 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home Versailles 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Aubagne 0 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Le Puy Foot 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Aubagne 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Away Rodez 5 - 3 Loss

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 SC Bastia 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
13 Bourg-en-bresse 01 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
SC Bastia to win
This prediction indicates that SC Bastia has a 46.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.58 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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