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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Bragança Celoricense
Bragança W D W L W D
Celoricense W W D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bragança Celoricense 1 - 1 January 17, 2026
Celoricense Bragança 1 - 2 August 17, 2025

Bragança Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Rebordelo 0 - 4 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home SC Braga B 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Away Brito 2 - 3 Win
May 31, 26 Away Leça 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Vianense 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Rebordosa 1 - 1 Draw

Celoricense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Pevidem 1 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away Maria da Fonte 0 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Montalegre 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Camacha 1 - 2 Win
Apr 12, 26 Home Machico 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 4, 26 Away Brito 0 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Bragança to win
This prediction indicates that Bragança has a 44.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.60 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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