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Úrvalsdeild

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Breidablik Stjarnan
Breidablik L L W D W W
Stjarnan W W L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stjarnan Breidablik 4 - 4 June 16, 2026
Stjarnan Breidablik 2 - 3 October 26, 2025
Stjarnan Breidablik 1 - 4 June 27, 2025
Breidablik Stjarnan 2 - 1 April 23, 2025
Breidablik Stjarnan 2 - 1 October 19, 2024
Stjarnan Breidablik 2 - 2 August 11, 2024

Breidablik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 0 Win
Jul 20, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 13, 26 Home Keflavik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away IA Akranes 1 - 2 Win

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Keflavik 1 - 0 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 2 - 3 Win
Jul 30, 26 Away Ilves 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home IA Akranes 5 - 1 Win
Jul 23, 26 Home Ilves 1 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 0 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Breidablik 18 8 5 5 36 30 +6 29
5 Stjarnan 18 8 3 7 38 38 0 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.1% likelihood that both Breidablik and Stjarnan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Breidablik to win
This prediction indicates that Breidablik has a 46.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.72 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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