Brito vs Vitória de Sernache Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

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Brito View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 9 hours ago VS

Vitória de Sernache View team ›

Match Analysis

Brito Vitória de Sernache

Brito L W L W L L

Vitória de Sernache W W L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Brito and Vitória de Sernache are coming into this match with moderate recent form and have had similar rest periods, making their readiness levels comparable. The teams are also considered closely matched in overall quality, indicating a fairly even contest. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest for Brito. Additionally, the model sees a lower chance of both teams scoring and of the match producing more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, aligning with a generally tighter, lower-scoring affair.

Brito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Chaves II	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Vila Pouca	Taça de Portugal	0 - 5	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Tirsense	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Maria da Fonte	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	2 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Montalegre	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Bragança	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	2 - 3	Loss

Vitória de Sernache Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Louletano	Liga 3	1 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Varzim	Taça de Portugal	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Caldas	Liga 3	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	Liga 3	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Nazarenos	Taça de Portugal	0 - 3	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Oliveirense	Liga 3	3 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Brito to win

This prediction indicates that Brito has a 44.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.68 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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