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Primera B Metropolitana

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue San Martín Burzaco
Brown DE Adrogue L D L W D W
San Martín Burzaco W L D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martín Burzaco Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 0 May 2, 2026
Brown DE Adrogue San Martín Burzaco 0 - 0 September 8, 2025
San Martín Burzaco Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 2 April 19, 2025

Brown DE Adrogue Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Real Pilar 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home UAI Urquiza 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Villa Dalmine 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Excursionistas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Arsenal Sarandi 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 1 - 0 Win

San Martín Burzaco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Argentino Quilmes 3 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Defensores Unidos 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Comunicaciones 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away Dock Sud 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Deportivo Merlo 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Deportivo Camioneros 2 - 0 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 San Martín Burzaco 32 9 13 10 31 34 -3 40
20 Brown DE Adrogue 32 7 11 14 20 34 -14 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Brown DE Adrogue to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Brown DE Adrogue has a 37.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.45 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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