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Serie C logo

Serie C

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Brusque Ituano
Brusque W L W L D W
Ituano L D D D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ituano Brusque 0 - 0 April 12, 2025
Brusque Ituano 1 - 0 October 14, 2024
Ituano Brusque 1 - 1 June 23, 2024
Ituano Brusque 2 - 0 September 24, 2022
Brusque Ituano 0 - 1 June 11, 2022
Brusque Ituano 4 - 2 January 11, 2021

Brusque Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 6, 26 Home Figueirense 3 - 1 Win
Jun 30, 26 Away Botafogo PB 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Floresta 2 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Santa Cruz 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 1, 26 Away Barra 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Anápolis 1 - 0 Win

Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Santa Cruz 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Figueirense 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Caxias 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Botafogo PB 1 - 0 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brusque 13 7 3 3 20 14 +6 24
9 Ituano 13 5 4 4 15 13 +2 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Brusque to win
This prediction indicates that Brusque has a 46.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.93 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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