Burton Albion vs Birmingham Wednesday 22nd July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Burton Albion Birmingham

Burton Albion D D D W D D

Birmingham D W W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Burton Albion	Birmingham	1 - 0	July 19, 2025
Burton Albion	Birmingham	1 - 2	April 21, 2025
Birmingham	Burton Albion	2 - 0	December 26, 2024
Burton Albion	Birmingham	1 - 2	July 16, 2022
Birmingham	Burton Albion	1 - 1	April 7, 2018
Birmingham	Burton Albion	1 - 0	January 6, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Leyton Orient	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Peterborough	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Mansfield Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Barnsley	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bristol City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Preston	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Hull City	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	Wrexham	2 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Ipswich	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Birmingham has a 43.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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