National League - North
Match Analysis
Buxton
Chester
Buxton
W
L
L
D
W
W
Chester
W
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | Buxton | 1 - 0 | February 14, 2026 |
| Buxton | Chester | 1 - 2 | November 8, 2025 |
| Buxton | Chester | 2 - 4 | January 11, 2025 |
| Chester | Buxton | 0 - 1 | October 22, 2024 |
| Buxton | Chester | 1 - 4 | March 29, 2024 |
| Chester | Buxton | 0 - 1 | January 16, 2024 |
Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Oxford City | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Hebburn Town | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Bedford Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Southport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Hereford | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Warrington Town | 1 - 2 | Win |
Chester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Spalding United | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Darlington 1883 | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | King's Lynn Town | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Chorley | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Crewe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Nantwich Town | 0 - 3 | Win |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
Predictions
Chester to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Chester has a 35.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.47 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
National League - North
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Hereford vs Chester
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Merthyr Town vs Chorley
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Brackley Town vs South Shields
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Spalding United vs Worksop Town
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Hebburn Town vs King's Lynn Town
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Marine vs Radcliffe
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Bedford Town vs Spennymoor Town
11 hours from now · 5 p.m.
›
Comments