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National League - North

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hereford Chester
Hereford L W D L L D
Chester W D W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hereford Chester 5 - 2 February 24, 2026
Chester Hereford 1 - 1 November 25, 2025
Hereford Chester 2 - 2 April 5, 2025
Chester Hereford 3 - 0 November 2, 2024
Hereford Chester 1 - 1 February 20, 2024
Chester Hereford 1 - 2 September 5, 2023

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Buxton 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Bromsgrove Sporting 0 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Solihull Moors 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Bishop's Cleeve 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Hereford Pegasus 1 - 1 Draw

Chester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Chorley 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Crewe 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Away Nantwich Town 0 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Hyde United 0 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Stoke City 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Warrington Town 0 - 2 Win

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chester 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Hereford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Chester to win
This prediction indicates that Chester has a 54.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.95 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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