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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Camacha Florgrade
Camacha D L L W L W
Florgrade D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Camacha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Machico 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away Maritimo 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Celoricense 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Away Vilaverdense 0 - 3 Win
Mar 29, 26 Home Bragança 1 - 3 Loss
Mar 22, 26 Home Machico 2 - 1 Win

Florgrade Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home São João Ver 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 31, 25 Home Espinho 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 24, 23 Away Paredes 5 - 1 Loss
Sep 10, 23 Home Beira-Mar 3 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Camacha to win
This prediction indicates that Camacha has a 42.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.26 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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