Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town Saturday 26th September 2026 04:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Premier League logo

Premier League
Cardiff MET logo Cardiff MET
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Caernarfon Town logo Caernarfon Town

Match Analysis

Cardiff MET Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET D D W W L L
Caernarfon Town W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Caernarfon Town Cardiff MET 0 - 3 September 28, 2025
Cardiff MET Caernarfon Town 2 - 2 August 9, 2025
Caernarfon Town Cardiff MET 0 - 0 May 11, 2025
Caernarfon Town Cardiff MET 2 - 1 April 19, 2025
Cardiff MET Caernarfon Town 4 - 2 March 8, 2025
Cardiff MET Caernarfon Town 1 - 2 October 5, 2024

Cardiff MET Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Away Flint Town United 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 4, 26 Home Cambrian & Clydach 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 31, 26 Away Ammanford AFC 0 - 5 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Briton Ferry 3 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home The New Saints 0 - 5 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Barry Town 1 - 0 Loss

Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Away Ammanford AFC 0 - 5 Win
Sep 4, 26 Home Flint Town United 3 - 0 Win
Aug 31, 26 Home The New Saints 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Away Holywell 3 - 5 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Trefelin 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Colwyn Bay 3 - 0 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Caernarfon Town 7 5 0 2 18 9 +9 15
7 Cardiff MET 7 4 1 2 18 9 +9 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.73% likelihood that both Cardiff MET and Caernarfon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Cardiff MET or Caernarfon Town to win
This prediction indicates that Caernarfon Town has a 40.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.73 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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