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Premier League

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Colwyn Bay GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay W L D W W L
GAP Connah S Quay FC W W W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
GAP Connah S Quay FC Colwyn Bay 1 - 1 April 18, 2026
Colwyn Bay GAP Connah S Quay FC 2 - 2 January 24, 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC Colwyn Bay 2 - 1 December 5, 2025
Colwyn Bay GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 1 August 10, 2025
Colwyn Bay GAP Connah S Quay FC 2 - 3 November 29, 2023
GAP Connah S Quay FC Colwyn Bay 2 - 1 September 26, 2023

Colwyn Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Airbus UK 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Caernarfon Town 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Ammanford AFC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Trefelin 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Bootle 1 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Marine 2 - 0 Loss

GAP Connah S Quay FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Ammanford AFC 0 - 2 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Trefelin 6 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Holywell 1 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Caernarfon Town 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Away Ballkani 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 8, 26 Home Ballkani 0 - 0 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Colwyn Bay 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
9 GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 2 0 1 10 3 +7 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that both Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
This prediction indicates that GAP Connah S Quay FC has a 50.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.90 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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