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Premiership
Carrick Rangers logo Carrick Rangers
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Larne logo Larne

Match Analysis

Carrick Rangers Larne
Carrick Rangers W L W W L W
Larne W L W D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Larne Carrick Rangers 2 - 3 February 20, 2026
Carrick Rangers Larne 1 - 2 December 26, 2025
Larne Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 September 20, 2025
Carrick Rangers Larne 1 - 0 March 4, 2025
Carrick Rangers Larne 1 - 2 February 4, 2025
Larne Carrick Rangers 0 - 0 December 26, 2024

Carrick Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Bangor 0 - 4 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Coleraine FC 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Limavady United 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Portadown 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Ballyclare Comrades 1 - 8 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Ards 1 - 0 Win

Larne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Home Glentoran 2 - 1 Win
Aug 27, 26 Home Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Away Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Coleraine FC 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Home Saburtalo 0 - 0 Draw

Premiership Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Carrick Rangers 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
9 Larne 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Larne to win
This prediction indicates that Larne has a 46.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.51 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Premiership

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Linfield vs Carrick Rangers 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Cliftonville FC vs Portadown 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC 14 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Bangor vs Ballymena United 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›