Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
L
L
L
W
W
D
Moreirense
D
W
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | Moreirense | 1 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Moreirense | Casa Pia | 2 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Moreirense | Casa Pia | 3 - 2 | February 15, 2025 |
| Casa Pia | Moreirense | 3 - 1 | September 14, 2024 |
| Casa Pia | Moreirense | 0 - 1 | May 12, 2024 |
| Moreirense | Casa Pia | 1 - 4 | January 8, 2024 |
Casa Pia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Maritimo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Leixoes | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Benfica B | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Estrela | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Torreense | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Torreense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Moreirense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SC Braga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | GIL Vicente | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | AVS | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | AVS | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Moreirense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Moreirense has a 35.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.83 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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