Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Castro Daire
Portimonense
Castro Daire
D
L
D
W
W
L
Portimonense
L
D
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Castro Daire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 25 | Home | Anadia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 2, 22 | Away | Sertanense | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 17, 21 | Home | Olhanense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 25, 21 | Away | Rabo Peixe | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 11, 21 | Home | Trancoso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 27, 20 | Away | Paredes | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Portimonense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Leixoes | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Benfica B | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Vizela | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Penafiel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Estrela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Castro Daire to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Castro Daire has a 39.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.15 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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