Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Catania
Crotone
Catania
W
L
W
L
L
L
Crotone
L
D
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | Catania | 2 - 0 | April 13, 2026 |
| Catania | Crotone | 2 - 0 | December 5, 2025 |
| Catania | Crotone | 0 - 0 | March 23, 2025 |
| Crotone | Catania | 3 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
| Crotone | Catania | 3 - 0 | January 7, 2024 |
| Catania | Crotone | 0 - 1 | September 1, 2023 |
Catania Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | AZ Picerno | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Scafatese | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Nuova Cosenza | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | SS Monopoli | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Inter U23 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Parma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Inter U23 | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Savoia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Barletta | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Sorrento | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Foggia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Casertana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Catania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Crotone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Catania to win
This prediction indicates that Catania has a 49.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.97 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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Serie C - Girone C
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