Serie C - Girone C logo

Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Savoia Casarano
Savoia L L
Casarano W L D L W L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Savoia Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Casertana 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away AZ Picerno 3 - 2 Loss

Casarano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Giugliano 4 - 3 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Potenza 4 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Union Brescia 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Union Brescia 0 - 3 Loss
May 13, 26 Away Renate 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Renate 0 - 2 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Casarano 2 1 0 1 5 7 -2 3
15 Savoia 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that both Savoia and Casarano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Savoia or Casarano to win
This prediction indicates that Savoia has a 37.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.26 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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