Serie B logo

Serie B
Ceara logo Ceara
Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Novorizontino logo Novorizontino

Match Analysis

Ceara Novorizontino
Ceara L W L L W W
Novorizontino W W W D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Novorizontino Ceara 2 - 1 May 23, 2026
Ceara Novorizontino 1 - 0 August 27, 2024
Novorizontino Ceara 0 - 3 May 10, 2024
Novorizontino Ceara 4 - 1 September 19, 2023
Ceara Novorizontino 0 - 3 May 28, 2023

Ceara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Vila Nova 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Londrina 2 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Nautico Recife 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Cuiaba 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away São Bernardo 3 - 4 Win

Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Sport Recife 2 - 1 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Athletic Club 1 - 4 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home America Mineiro 3 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away CRB 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Juventude 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Londrina 1 - 4 Win

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Novorizontino 25 12 7 6 41 22 +19 43
17 Ceara 25 7 7 11 25 32 -7 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Novorizontino to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 39.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.91 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie B

Criciuma vs Cuiaba 3 hours ago · 1:30 a.m. › Novorizontino vs Avai 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Goias vs Fortaleza EC 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. › CRB vs America Mineiro an hour ago · 3:30 a.m. ›