Serie B
Match Analysis
Novorizontino
Avai
Novorizontino
W
D
L
W
L
L
Avai
W
W
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | Novorizontino | 3 - 3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Novorizontino | Avai | 1 - 1 | August 3, 2025 |
| Avai | Novorizontino | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
| Novorizontino | Avai | 2 - 0 | October 23, 2024 |
| Avai | Novorizontino | 0 - 1 | July 8, 2024 |
| Avai | Novorizontino | 1 - 0 | September 11, 2023 |
Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | CRB | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Juventude | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Londrina | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Criciuma | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Fortaleza EC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Avai Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Sport Recife | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | CRB | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Juventude | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 20 | +12 | 34 |
| 16 | Avai | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Novorizontino to win
This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 58.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.69 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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