Segunda División
Match Analysis
Cerrito
Oriental
Cerrito
L
D
D
W
D
W
Oriental
L
W
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oriental | Cerrito | 2 - 2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Cerrito | Oriental | 2 - 3 | October 12, 2025 |
| Oriental | Cerrito | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2025 |
| Cerrito | Oriental | 3 - 1 | November 3, 2024 |
| Oriental | Cerrito | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2024 |
| Cerrito | Oriental | 2 - 1 | November 29, 2023 |
Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Colón | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Fenix | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Rentistas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Miramar | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Tacuarembo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | 1 - 0 | Win |
Oriental Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Paysandu | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | CA River Plate | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Colón | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Fenix | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cerrito | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Oriental | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oriental to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oriental has a 34.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.05 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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