Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura
Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo
Aug. 22, 2026 1 week from now VS
Defensor Sporting logo Defensor Sporting

Match Analysis

Cerro Largo Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo D L W D D W
Defensor Sporting L W L D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cerro Largo Defensor Sporting 1 - 1 July 13, 2026
Defensor Sporting Cerro Largo 1 - 0 February 21, 2026
Cerro Largo Defensor Sporting 1 - 0 September 13, 2025
Defensor Sporting Cerro Largo 3 - 2 May 24, 2025
Defensor Sporting Cerro Largo 0 - 0 March 23, 2025
Cerro Largo Defensor Sporting 3 - 0 November 27, 2024

Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Juventud 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Penarol 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Central Espanol 0 - 1 Win
Jul 13, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 8, 26 Away Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 0 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Cerro 2 - 0 Win

Defensor Sporting Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Wanderers 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Cerro 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Away Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Boston River 1 - 1 Draw

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Cerro Largo 23 8 5 10 24 25 -1 29
11 Defensor Sporting 23 6 9 8 19 21 -2 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cerro Largo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cerro Largo has a 37.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División - Apertura

Racing Montevideo vs Club Nacional 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Juventud vs Atletico Torque 14 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Cerro vs Albion FC 11 hours from now · 4 p.m. › Boston River vs Danubio 3 hours ago · 1 a.m. ›