Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
W
L
D
D
D
D
Club Nacional
W
W
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Club Nacional | Racing Montevideo | 3 - 0 | September 7, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Club Nacional | 1 - 2 | June 14, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Club Nacional | 0 - 1 | March 16, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Club Nacional | 0 - 2 | November 8, 2024 |
| Club Nacional | Racing Montevideo | 4 - 2 | May 3, 2024 |
Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Boston River | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cerro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Penarol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Defensor Sporting | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Club Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Progreso | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Tigre | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigre | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Wanderers | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Danubio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Juventud | 2 - 1 | Win |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Racing Montevideo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Racing Montevideo has a 39.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.90 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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