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USL Championship

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Charleston Battery Monterey Bay
Charleston Battery L W W L W W
Monterey Bay D L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Monterey Bay Charleston Battery 0 - 0 May 30, 2024
Charleston Battery Monterey Bay 1 - 0 May 20, 2023

Charleston Battery Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Hartford Athletic 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away Las Vegas Lights 0 - 2 Win
Aug 24, 26 Home Miami FC 5 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Loudoun United 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Brooklyn 5 - 0 Win

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Rhode Island 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home New Mexico United 2 - 5 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away El Paso Locomotive 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Lexington 3 - 2 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Charleston Battery 23 12 3 8 47 29 +18 39
23 Monterey Bay 23 4 5 14 24 41 -17 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Charleston Battery to win
This prediction indicates that Charleston Battery has a 71.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.78 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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