Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
W
D
W
W
D
W
Chicago Fire
D
D
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 2 - 1 | August 2, 2026 |
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 3 - 2 | June 29, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 1 - 4 | May 17, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 4 - 3 | October 2, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | May 16, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 0 - 2 | October 8, 2023 |
Charlotte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Atlanta United FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | DC United | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew | 3 - 1 | Win |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Crown Legacy | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew II | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Fort Lauderdale CF | 3 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 39 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that both Charlotte and Chicago Fire will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Charlotte to win
This prediction indicates that Charlotte has a 50.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.70 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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