Chatham Town vs Margate Saturday 18th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Chatham Town Margate

Chatham Town D W D W W W

Margate L W D L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Slough Town	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 2, 26	Home	Erith & Belvedere	3 - 0	Win
Nov 1, 25	Away	Buxton	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Away	Tonbridge Angels	1 - 3	Win
Sep 27, 25	Home	Deal Town	3 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Ashford United	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dover	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 19, 25	Home	Cobham	1 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 25	Away	Cobham	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Away	Dover	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 1, 24	Away	Horsham	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 28, 24	Home	Horsham	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chatham Town has a 55.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.57 %

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