Thai League 1
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Match Analysis
Chiangrai United
Ratchaburi
Chiangrai United
L
L
D
W
W
D
Ratchaburi
W
D
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Chiangrai United has had moderate recent form, while Ratchaburi arrives with strong recent form and a notable rest advantage. The model predicts an away win with a 41% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 54% chance that both teams will score, slightly more optimistic than the market implies.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Thai League 1 | April 29, 2026 |
| Ratchaburi | Chiangrai United | 1 - 2 | Thai League 1 | December 24, 2025 |
| Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | 0 - 1 | Thai League 1 | March 2, 2025 |
| Ratchaburi | Chiangrai United | 1 - 0 | Thai League 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| Chiangrai United | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Thai League 1 | April 28, 2024 |
| Ratchaburi | Chiangrai United | 3 - 0 | Thai League 1 | December 1, 2023 |
Chiangrai United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | Prachuap | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Sisaket United | Thai League 1 | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Buriram United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Ratchaburi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 26 | Home | Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Rayong FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Bangkok United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Kanchanaburi | Thai League 1 | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Rayong FC | Thai League 1 | 6 - 1 | Win |
Thai League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 11 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangkok Glass | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pattani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Ratchaburi to win
This prediction indicates that Ratchaburi has a 41.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.19 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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