Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
L
L
L
L
D
D
New York City FC
L
W
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| Chicago Fire | New York City FC | 1 - 3 | September 14, 2025 |
| New York City FC | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | May 25, 2025 |
| New York City FC | Chicago Fire | 2 - 2 | August 24, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | New York City FC | 0 - 0 | July 14, 2024 |
| New York City FC | Chicago Fire | 1 - 0 | October 22, 2023 |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Chattanooga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Bethlehem Steel | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 4 - 4 | Draw |
New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Real Salt Lake | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 39 |
| 18 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that both Chicago Fire and New York City FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Chicago Fire or New York City FC to win
This prediction indicates that Chicago Fire has a 41.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.91 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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